Showing posts with label Tim Hortons. Show all posts
Showing posts with label Tim Hortons. Show all posts

Saturday, January 6, 2018

Tim Horton's Controversy in Ontario

     The cost of living keeps going up.  We are faced with increase prices on everything from access to the internet, groceries, restaurants, electricity and our phones.  Some Canadians living in certain provinces have a carbon tax that is either new or has been increase.  In Alberta they initiated a carbon tax on January 1 2017 at $20 per tonne.  On January 1 2018 is was raised to $30 a tonne.  This represents a 50% income in the carbon tax and people have to pay GST on their purchases which include the GST on the final price of the product or service plus the carbon tax.  That's right! Paying tax on tax.
      The other major increase in the cost of living is raising the minimum wage. The NDP government of Alberta said they will raise the minimum wage in Alberta to $15.  They won the last election so they implanted this promise.  On October 1 2017, the minimum wage in Alberta was increase from $12.20 to $13.60. What happens when the minimum wage is increased?  The price of almost everything has increased.  Alberta is set to raise their minimum wage to $15.00 on October 1 2017.  Any workers that were getting paid close to the new minimum wage, want an increase to the hourly rate.
      People thought Alberta raising the minimum wage by that amount was bad. People complained that businesses had to reduce hours and staff.

   What happened on January 1 2018?

     Businesses knew in Ontario changes were coming on January 1 2018.  The Ontario government raised the minimum wage in Ontario from $11.60 to $14.00 on January 1 2018. That represents an increase of 20.7%.  Have you ever heard of someone getting a 20.7% increase in their pay in on setting?
      People who work at Tim Horton's often start off working at minimum wage. In my hometown, a former supervisor at Tim Horton's told me she made $0.50 more an hour then the regular workers.  
      Tim Horton's is a chain of fast food restaurants that started off with one coffee and donut shop in 1964. Tim Horton's is named after it's founder Tim Horton, who was a player for the NHL team Toronto Maple Leafs.  Although the company started just as a coffee and donut restaurant, the business model changed over the years to include things such as breakfast sandwiches, muffins, sandwiches etc. Tim Horton took on investor / partner in the first year who was Ron Joyce. Ron Joyce was a policeman in Hamilton at that time.  A few years later, Tim Horton was killed in a car crash.  Tim Hortons continued to expand the number of restaurants by franchising.
         Tim Hortons was sold to Wendy's Restaurants in 1995 with Ron Joyce becoming the largest shareholder of Wendy's.  If you live in Canada, you have likely seen Tim Horton's and Wendy's operating independently under the same roof.  Around 2005-2006 , Tim Horton's once again became a stand alone company. In Dec 2014, Tim Hortons became part of the new formed company called Restaurant Brands International. At that time, The 2 companies that were part of this new formed company was Tim Horton's and Burger King.
       Do people who work at Tim Horton's actually work for Tim Horton's?  If a person works at a franchise restaurant, they work for the franchisee under a company that could be called something such as "ABC Investments ".  

        Why is Tim Horton's in the news recently.  On January 1, the province of Ontario raised the minimum wage from $11.60 to $14.00.  Two franchisees that own 2 stores together in Coburg, Ontario have been rumored to sent a notice to the employees of their 2 restaurants that their breaks will no longer be paid and that they will have to pay more for their benefits.  People who have worked for 6 months to 5 years will have to pay 75% of their costs of benefits.  People who have 5 years or more will have to pay 50% of their costs of benefits.  The workers are suppose to sign this letter to acknowledge that were informed of these changes.   It has since been verified that this letter of notice is true. 
           The misconception people have is that when a company pays say $10 per hour, that it costs the company $10 per hour.  This is not the case.  Employers have to pay taxes and Worker's compensation fees on top of that.  Therefore, roughly is would cost the employer more like $13.50 per hour.
            The reason that is such big news is that the 2 franchisees are Ron Joyce Jr and Jeri-Lyn Horton-Joyce.  Ron Joyce is known to be a cofounder of Tim Horton's over the many years.  Ron Joyce Jr and Jeri-Lyn Horton-Joyce are the son of Ron Joyce and daughter of Tim Horton. These 2 people are believed to be married to each other.
             People seem to be placing the blame on Tim Hortons and saying they will boycott them.  The parent company said they do not get involved in the employment matters and that is the responsibility of the franchisee.  These 2 franchisees stated in their letters to the employees that their actions is due to the large wage increase and receiving no help from the Ontario government or Tim Horton's.  Tim Horton's do not want to raise their prices to help with this.
              These franchisees and other franchisees have complained to their franchisor that they are being squeezed.  With these 2 franchisees being the son and daughter of the Ron Joyce and Tim Horton, some people believe they are using this has a way to send a message to the Ontario government and Tim Horton's.

           Why Are They Getting Squeezed?

      The franchisees must by a lot of their products from Tim Horton's directly which is apart of their agreement.  This cost along with the cost of getting the product to their restaurants seems to be increasing.
       Personally, I believe the service is the major issue.  Over the past several years, I have noticed the service has gone down.  An example is the lineups not moving fast enough and orders getting mixed up. This did not happen years ago. 
      Could it be the workers get mixed up as the restaurants keep increasing their product offerings. So, if the restaurants operate better people will be more apt to eat there more. 

 Do you agree what the actions of the 2 franchisees?

Disclosure: Currently a shareholder of Restaurant Brands International and held shares of Tim Horton's when it was a stand alone public company. 
  
DISCLAIMER

I am not a financial planner, financial advisor, accountant or tax attorney. The information on this blog represents my own thoughts and opinions and should NOT be taken as investment or business advice.

Depending on the trading instruments used, the loss can exceed your initial investment or outlay of capital.  Every individual should do their due diligence to make their own financial decisions based on their financial situation and tolerance for risk.

Wednesday, October 14, 2015

Recent Purchase

     There has been a stock that I have owned from time to time.  When the major acquisition was announced in the last year or so, I cashed out and netted a capital gain about $2950.00.  Tim Horton's was acquired by Burger King in a major leveraged buyout with the help of Warren Buffet.  The company that consists of the two companies, which still operate as their own brands, is know as Restaurant Brands International.
  
       I recently held the stock, RBI, up to recently.  The dividend is not very high but the dividend is paid in USD although the company is headquartered in Canada.  With a strong USD, every 1 USD buys approximately 1.30 Canadian dollars which makes the dividend yield higher.

     Today, October 14th, I purchased 100 shares at $47.00 for a total cost of $4704.95 including commissions.  This is a lowest price that I have purchased shares of RBI.

      The line ups at Tim Horton's continue to be long. For the average person, it is more economical for them to have Tim Hortons Coffee over McDonald's Coffee or Starbucks. All three of these companies serve more than coffee, but there is more Tim Hortons in Canada than the latter two.  Also 8 out of every 10 cups of coffee bought in Canada is bought at a Tim Hortons.  

DISCLAIMER
I am not a financial planner, financial advisor, accountant or tax attorney. The information on this blog represents my own thoughts and opinions and should NOT be taken as investment or business advice.

Every individual should do their due diligence to make their own financial decisions based on their financial situation and tolerance for risk.

Friday, September 12, 2014

Resent Sale

Over the last two to three weeks, one of the major stories was the purchase of Tim Horton's by Burger King. Under the new ownership structure, the new company will be a Canadian Corporation owned as follows: 3G Capital 51 %, Burger King 27% and Tim Horton's 22%. So, all current Tim Horton shareholders could combine to own 22% of the new formed company. I recently wrote a post about the possible purchase of Tim Horton's by Burger King . This post also tells you what choices the Tim Horton's investor have.

I recently sold my 100 shares in Tim Horton's in the last week.  This buyout by Burger King is highly leveraged.  So as I hear more and more people talk about this, I feel it would be better to sell the shares. For some reason the sale does not go through, the Tim Horton's stock price will drop probably in to the low $60's or high $50's.  Currently, as Tim Horton's is near saturation in Canada, they are basically a "cash cow".  I believe the cash from Tim Horton's will be used to help pay down the massive debt incurred to finance this transaction.  With the cash going to pay down the debt, then the dividend, if any, with the new company will no grow quickly.

Purchase Price:   $59.70
Commission on Purchase: $4.95
Sale Price  :  $89.25
Commission on Sale:  $4.95
Total Dividends received:  $96.00

Profit= 100*($89.25-$59.70)-2*4.95+96
          =    $3041.10

Return = Profit/investment
            = $3041.10 / (  $5970+$4.95)
             =   50.90 %   

I will continue to follow the news on the possible buy out of Tim Horton's by Burger King.

DISCLAIMER:

     I am not a financial planner, financial advisor, accountant or tax attorney. The information on this blog represents my own thoughts and opinions and should NOT be taken as investment or business advice.  Every individual should do their due diligence to make their own financial decisions based on their financial situation and tolerance for risk

Sunday, August 31, 2014

Tim Horton's and Burger King





On Tuesday August 26, Burger King and Tim Horton's announced a take over of Tim Horton's by Burger King for a tune of 12.5 Billion dollars. The shares of Tim Horton's have went up over 20% when this deal was announced but have fallen a little since then.

The new company, which will be headquartered in Canada, is planning to operate Tim Horton's and Burger King as separate restaurants and not sell each other products. Currently, Burger King is headquartered in Miami, Florida and majority owned by 3G capital.   With the combined company becoming a Canadian Corporation, there will be tax savings as Canada's corporate tax rates are lower than the US.  This is a hot topic right now in the media. When a US corporation takes over a company in a foreign country, they can become a corporate entity in that foreign country and therefore not pay US corporate taxes. There are various people in the media say that the savings will not be that noticeable. 

Burger King has struggled over the years with competition from other restaurants in the fast food industry and the trend towards people choosing to try to eat more healthy food choices.  I have noticed over the last decade that the quality of Burger King food as gone down hill from what it used to be.  Burger King has also struggled in the breakfast part of their business competing for customers who like their morning coffee and such.  Tim Horton's always as long line ups in the morning inside the store and the drive thru as people must have their morning coffee.

Tim Horton's has struggled over the years to gain traction in the United States.  Their attempt to expand in the north eastern part of the United States did not go as well as planned.  Tim Horton's has to compete with various competitors like Starbucks and Krispy Cream Donuts who were already thriving in this marketplace.  Tim Horton's have stated that there is not much room for growth for them in Canada as they are saturated coast to coast.  I believe Tim Horton's would due better if their donuts were made fresh from scratch in their stores like they use to be prior to 1995.  1995 is the year Wendy's acquired Tim Horton's , who later divested themselves of Tim Horton's in the mid 2000's.

With Burger King and Tim Horton's merger, both companies say this is a win win for both of them. This gives Tim Horton's access to a network of franchisees who might decide to open Tim Horton restaurants also.  This will allow expansion into the US at a more faster pace.  With the merger, this allows Burger King to gain traction in the breakfast part of the restaurant . 

 "3G Capital will purchase the company at $65.50 per-share; existing shareholders will receive $65.50 in cash and 0.8025 shares in the new holding company per-share—all-cash ($88.50) and all-shares (3.0879) options will also be available. 3G Capital (which currently holds a 71% majority stake in Burger King) will hold a 51% majority stake in the new company, Tim Hortons' existing shareholders will own 22%, and Burger King's will own 27%" - source Wikipedia


As a shareholder of Tim Horton's, which you can read about here,  I could sell my shares now or wait. If I decide to wait, there are 3 options available to me as a a shareholder. These options as follows:
  1.  $65.50 in cash and 0.8025 shares in the new holding company. 
  2. All cash at $88.50 per share
  3. All shares option of 3.0879 shares in the new company.
 Disclosure: Currently still own THI

Photo Credit:  www.canadianbusiness.com

DISCLAIMER:

     I am not a financial planner, financial advisor, accountant or tax attorney. The information on this blog represents my own thoughts and opinions and should NOT be taken as investment or business advice.  Every individual should do their due diligence to make their own financial decisions based on their financial situation and tolerance for risk

Tuesday, July 22, 2014

Tim Hortons - Minor Company Review


    Tim Hortons opened it first restaurant in 1964.  The site of the first Tim Horton's was in an old gas station as shown in the image below. It served coffee and donuts. The store is named after it founder, Tim Horton. Tim Horton played NHL hockey for the Toronto Maple Leafs. During the 1960s, NHL players were not making a lot of money relative to other jobs like nowadays. Tim Horton started a coffee and donut shop to make extra money.

Tim hortons 50 years ago
Cortesy of Tim Horton's Online Annual Report - The first Restaurant

      In 2014, Tim Hortons celebrated it 50 year in business, which all started in the first restaurant above in Hamilton, Ontario. Tim Horton died in a car crash in 1974, but he partnered with a guy named Ron Joyce  early on in the business in 1967. Ron Joyce continued to building the company one restaurant at a time.

Some important mile stones for Tim Hortons.
  • In 1984, the first US restaurant opened in Tonawanda, New York.
  • 1991, 500th Canadian restaurant opened in Aylmer, Quebec.
  • 1995- Tim Horton's is purchased by Wendy's International Inc.
  • 2000 - 2000th restaurant opens in Toronto, Ontario.
  • 2006 Tim Hortons is completely spun off from Wendy's International and completes an IPO 
  
Some stats on the company as per Yahoo Finance Key Statistics as of July 22, 2014.
                                                          
Market Cap (intraday)8.06B
Enterprise Value (2014-07-23)9.28B
Trailing P/E (ttm ; intraday)20.50
Forward P/E (FYE 2015-12-29)16.59
PEG Ratio (5 yr expected)1.92
Price/Sales (ttm)2.43
Price/Book (mrq)15.67

       Tim Horton's current pays a dividend of $1.28 CDN annually. At today's share price, this represents a yield of near 2%. Over the last couple of years, Tim Hortons has been under pressure from activist shareholders who want investors to be rewarded with larger dividends. Th. e most recent dividend raise was 23%. Tim Hortons revamps its menu from time to time to compete with their main competitors. The main competitors are McDonald's and Starbucks. Currently, 8 out of every 10 cups of coffee is sold at Tim Hortons.

Conclusion: I believe this company will continue to do well over time. When you go to a Tim Horton's restaurant or through the drive thru, there are usually large lines of people or a lot of people sitting in their restaurants. These long line ups represent and ever increasing revenue stream day after day. The dividend is likely to increase, which will mean my money will be working harder for me year after year.

I currently own this in my margin account.
Disclosure: Long THI


DISCLAIMER
I am not a financial planner, financial advisor, accountant or tax attorney. The information on this blog represents my own thoughts and opinions and should be taken as investment or business advice.

Every individual should do their due diligence to make their own financial decisions based on their financial situation and tolerance for risk
  

Sunday, January 26, 2014

Recent Purchase


What do a lot of people do on their way to work?  No matter what Canadian province I am in, there is always a huge line ups inside the restaurant and in the drive thru.  I decided to make a purchase in this successful business.



On January 24th, I purchased 100 shares of Tim Horton's (THI) on the Toronto Stock Exchange. The purchase price is $59.70 plus $4.95 commission for a total of $5974.95.

Tim Horton's is a restaurant that serves coffees, specialized coffees, teas, donuts, timbits, muffins, soups, sandwiches etc. This is a no frills coffee shop. The morning coffee is a daily ritual for most people on their way to work.

Tim Horton's first store (Tim Horton Donut Shop) opened in Hamilton, Ontario in an old gas station. The restaurant was owned by Tim Horton (Toronto Maple Leaf hockey player) and a police man named Ron Joyce. Tim Horton unfortunately was killed in a motor vehicle accident in 1974.  Ron Joyce then bought out the family's share of the business for 1 million dollars.

Currently, Tim Horton's has about 4300 hundred stores, with about 3400 being in Canada. As of Friday's close, THI trades at a P/E 21.13 and a yield under 2%. I believe THI is slightly over valued.

I am going to sell a $60.00 covered call on this stock. I have put in my option order already. I am slightly bullish on this stock.


DISCLAIMER:

     I am not a financial planner, financial advisor, accountant or tax attorney. The information on this blog represents my own thoughts and opinions and should NOT be taken as investment or business advice.  Every individual should do their due diligence to make their own financial decisions based on their financial situation and tolerance for risk